Saturday, August 06, 2016

Sports Illustrated Medal Predictions

Track & Field
MEN
100 meters
Usain Bolt Jamaica
Justin Gatlin U.S.
Trayvon Bromell U.S.
 Bolt pulled out of the Jamaican trials with a hamstring injury.
200 meters
Usain Bolt Jamaica
LaShawn Merritt U.S.
Ameer Webb U.S.
 Bolt has nine of the fastest 16 times in history.
400 meters
La Shawn Merritt U.S.
Kirani James Grenada
Wayde van Niekerk South Africa
 Van Niekerk has broken 10, 20 and 44 seconds in the 100, 200 and 400.
800 meters
David Rudisha Kenya
Alfred Kipketer Kenya
Adam Kszczot Poland
 Rudisha's father, Daniel, won Olympic silver in 1968.
1,500 meters
Asbel Kiprop Kenya
Elijah Manangoi Kenya
Taoufik Makhloufi Algeria
 Kiprop was expelled from running camp for sneaking in his girlfriend.
3,000-meter steeplechase
Conseslus Kipruto Kenya
Ezekiel Kemboi Kenya
Brimin Kipruto Kenya
 Kenyans have won the last eight.
5,000 meters
Mo Farah Great Britain
Muktar Edris Ethiopia
Caleb Ndiku Kenya
 The Somali-born Farah lives in Portland.
10,000 meters
Mo Farah Great Britain
Geoffrey Kamworor Kenya
Paul Tanui Kenya
 Finland's Lasse Virén doubled at 5 & 10,000 in '72 and '76, can Farah?
Marathon
Eliud Kipchoge Kenya
Tesfaye Abera Ethiopia
Stanley Biwot Kenya
 World-best Dennis Kimetto didn't make the Kenyan team.
110-meter hurdles
Omar McLeod Jamaica
Hansle Parchment Jamaica
Devon Allen U.S.
 McLeod was an NCAA champ at Arkansas.
400-meter hurdles
Kerron Clement U.S.
Michael Tinsley U.S.
Keisuke Nozawa Japan
 Clement left his native Trinidad when he was in high school.
4 × 100-meter relay
Jamaica 
U.S. 
Canada 
 Jamaica won this in 2008 and '12.
4 × 400-meter relay
U.S. 
Trinidad and Tobago 
Great Britain 
 Surprise gold in London: Bahamas.
20 kilometer walk
Wang Zhen China
Miguel Angel Lopez Spain
Ben Thorne Canada
 World-record holder Yusuke Suzuki of Japan is injured.
50 kilometer walk
Yohann Diniz France
Jared Tallent Australia
Takayuki Tanii Japan
 Diniz holds the world record for 50K.
High jump
Mutaz Essa Barshim Qatar
Majd Eddin Ghazal Syria
Derek Drouin Canada
 Watch Erik Kynard from Toledo, Ohio.
Long jump
Greg Rutherford Great Britain
Rushwal Samaai South Africa
Jarrion Lawson U.S.
 Rutherford's ancestors starred for Arsenal; he supports Man U.
Triple jump
Christian Taylor U.S.
Will Claye U.S.
Dong Bin China
 In '12, Claye was the first to medal in long and triple jumps since '36.
Pole vault
Shawn Barber Canada
Renaud Lavillenie France
Sam Kendricks U.S.
 Barber was born in New Mexico.
Shot put
Joe Kovacs U.S.
Ryan Crouser U.S.
David Storl Germany
 The nine longest throws in 2016 are by U.S. athletes.
Discus
Piotr Małachowski Poland
Christoph Harting Germany
Philip Milanov Belgium
 Christoph's brother, Robert, is the reigning Olympic champ.
Hammer throw
Pawel Fajdek Poland
Ivan Tikhon Belarus
Dilshod Nazarov Tajikistan
 Fajdek has the nine longest throws of 2016.
Javelin
Thomas Rohler Germany
Ihab El-Sayed Abdelrahman Egypt
Julius Yego Kenya
 Yego grew up without electricity.
Decathlon
Ashton Eaton U.S.
Damian Warner Canada
Arthur Abele Germany
 Eaton is unbeaten in major competitions since 2012.
WOMEN
100 meters
Elaine Thompson Jamaica
Tori Bowie U.S.
English Gardner U.S.
 World champ Tianna Bartoletta of the U.S. could also contend.
200 meters
Dafne Schippers Netherlands
Tori Bowie U.S.
Veronica Campbell-Brown Jamaica
 Schippers won bronze in the heptathlon at worlds in 2013.
400 meters
Allyson Felix U.S.
Shaunae Miller Bahamas
Stephanie McPherson Jamaica
 Felix missed a 200m spot by .01 second at U.S. trials.
800 meters
Caster Semenya South Africa
Francine Niyonsaba Burundi
Rénelle Lamote France
 Semenya won worlds at 18 in 2009.
1,500 meters
Genzebe Dibaba Ethiopia
Faith Kipyegon Kenya
Dawit Seyaum Ethiopia
 Genzebe's sister Tirunesh won five Olympic medals.
3,000-meter steeplechase
Hyvin Jepkemoi Kenya
Ruth Jebet Bahrain
Sofia Assefa Ethiopia
 Emma Coburn has a chance for the first U.S. medal in this event.
5,000 meters
Almaz Ayana Ethiopia
Senbere Teferi Ethiopia
Hellen Onsando Obiri Kenya
 All of Ethiopia's 21 golds and 45 medals are in distance running.
10,000 meters
Almaz Ayana Ethiopia
Gelete Burka Ethiopia
Alice Aprot Kenya
 Twelve of the fastest 13 runners in 2016 are Ethiopians.
Marathon
Jemima Sumgong Kenya
Mare Dibaba Kenya
Aselefech Mergia Ethiopia
 Sumgong fell and still won the 2016 London Marathon.
100-meter hurdles
Brianna Rollins U.S.
Kristi Castlin U.S.
Cindy Roleder Germany
 World No. 1 Kendra Harrison failed to make the U.S. team.
400-meter hurdles
Dalilah Muhammad U.S.
Janieve Russell Jamaica
Ashley Spencer U.S.
 Watch for 16-year-old Sydney McLaughlin of Dunellen, N.J.
4 × 100-meter relay
U.S. 
Jamaica 
Trinidad and Tobago 
 The U.S. set a world record (40.82) to top Jamaica in 2012.
4 × 400-meter relay
U.S. 
Jamaica 
Great Britain 
 The U.S. has won five in a row.
20 kilometer walk
Liu Hong China
Lu Xiuzhi China
Eleonora Giorgi Italy
 Russians have walked nine of the 10 fastest times in history.
High jump
Chaunte Lowe U.S.
Kamila Lićwinko Poland
Blanka Vlasic Croatia
 Lowe is a mother of three.
Long jump
Brittney Reese U.S.
Brooke Stratton Australia
Ivana Španović Serbia
 Tianna Bartoletta of the U.S. won worlds in 2005 and '15.
Triple jump
Caterine Ibargüen Colombia
Yulimar Rojas Venezuela
Olga Rypakova Kazakhstan
 Colombia has never won a track and field gold.
Pole vault
Yarisley Silva Cuba
Jenn Suhr U.S.
Ekateríni Stefanídi Greece
 Twice champ Yelena Isinbayeva is among the banned Russians.
Shot put
Gong Lijiao China
Valerie Adams New Zealand
Christina Schwanitz Germany
 Adams's brother Steven plays for the NBA's Thunder.
Discus
Sandra Perkovic Croatia
Yaime Perez Cuba
Denia Caballero Cuba
 Perkovic is a member of Parliament.
Hammer
Anita Włodarczyk Poland
Betty Heidler Germany
Zhang Wenxiu China
 Włodarczyk has the nine best throws of 2016.
Javelin
Barbora Špotáková Czech Republic
Tatsiana Khaladovich Belarus
Christin Hussong Germany
 World leader Vera Rebrik, a Russian, won't compete.
Heptathlon
Brianne Theisen-Eaton Canada
Jessica Ennis-Hill Great Britain
Laura Ikauniece-Admidina Latvia
 Theisen-Eaton's husband is Ashton, the decathlon pick.
http://www.si.com/olympics/2016/08/01/rio-2016-olympics-medal-picks-predictions-projected-medal-count

No comments: